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An Investment Review of Dr Mobius’ Advice
Dr. Mark Mobius is one of the most famous fund managers in the world. The Templeton Emerging Markets Fund he manages has risen 11-fold since its launch in the late 1980s. This equates to a return of over 12% per annum.
In a recent online interview with The Times of London, Dr Mobius offered some advice for investors. As investment advisors, we think it’s worth taking a closer look at his advice. His first piece of advice is to focus on value. This was his first point, which came as no surprise to us. He is known for his value approach. He looks for companies that are trading below book value or at very low price-to-earnings ratios.
He also advised people not to follow the herd. By this, he is referring to the fact that markets often behave irrationally. They can become overextended in good times and well below fair value in tough times. It is often worth buying when others are selling and selling when others are buying.
According to Mobius, investing is a long-term endeavor. “Rome wasn’t built in a day and it takes time for companies to reach their full potential”. Sitting comfortably in a volatile market can be difficult, and sometimes, if a company has life-threatening problems, selling is the best option. But overall, a long-term approach helps calm short-term market volatility and is the best way to invest in stocks.
One of the most important pieces of investment advice is to inject money into the market. In recent years, the idea of buying and “selling” on installments has gained more and more attention.
No one, including investment advisors, knows how the market will perform in the short term, and it’s important to trickle the feed in and out of the market. There is nothing worse than investing before the market has fallen sharply. Investing over time is the best way to avoid mistiming the market.
Mobius went on to say that you should only invest in stocks if you are comfortable with the risks involved. This is the most basic piece of advice of all. While stocks do offer the highest potential returns, they are also a very volatile investment.
While stocks may return an average of 9.5% annually, which is the average annual return they’ve delivered over the long term, years in which returns actually hit 9.5% are rare.
It is more likely to vary anywhere between plus 20% and minus 20%, with more dramatic gains and losses possible from time to time. People who are uncomfortable with this level of volatility must include fixed income in their portfolio.
Just to prove that I’m not the only investment researcher bragging about diversification, Möbius also recommends diversifying stock portfolios. There is no “perfect” number of stocks in a portfolio. Various studies have shown that having 15 stocks in a portfolio is enough to eliminate almost all stock-specific risk in a portfolio. Many people prefer to hold more stocks than this in their portfolios. Ultimately, how many stocks you include in your portfolio is a personal decision. But in general, when it comes to stock investing, more is better — more is better than less.
Möbius also advises that we should not listen to our neighbors when making investment decisions, nor should we believe everything we read in the newspapers. The most important message here seems to be that there is nothing more valuable than doing your own research on your investments and being happy with every investment you hold.
Given that he manages an emerging markets fund, it’s perhaps not surprising that Dr. Mobius also advises people to invest in emerging markets. He believes that developing countries with young populations will continue to grow faster than advanced economies.
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